Study of inhomogeneous compound Poisson probabilistic models for earthquake occurrence

摘要：

In accordance with the advantages and disadvantages of the existed probabilistic models for earthquake occurrence and the fundamental principle of earthquake estimation, five types of inhomogeneous compound Poisson Probabilistic models for earthquake occurrence are developed. The essential characteristics and possibly applicable hypothesis of these models are explained. The analytical results of the compound Poison models based on North China earthquake data indicate that inhomogeneous compound Poison models may effectively estimate the non-steady process for earthquake occurrence, but, homogenous Poisson models may not do it.

关键词： Inhomogeneous Poison probabilistic model for earthquake occurrence Seismic hazard

作者: GONG PING GONG ZHENG ZENG XINCHUAN ZHENG DEBIN ZOU QUONG

作者单位: Institute of Seismology, CEA, Wuhan, 430071, China School of Geodesy and Geometics, Wuhan University, Wuhan, 430079, China

会议类型: 国际会议

会议名称: 14th World Conference on Earthquake Engineering(第十四届国际地震工程会议)

会议地点: 北京

会议语种:英文

在线出版日期: 2008-10-12（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）